SkaroffBlog

I don’t read it nearly as much as I should, but if you’re looking for informed, well-reasoned, and unbiased commentary regarding the Bush administration’s illegal war in Iraq, Prof. Juan Cole from the University of Michigan’s Informed Comment is about the best source out there. Today he’s written a long post about the current situation and where he sees it going:

In an ideal world, the United States would relinquish Iraq to a United Nations military command, and the world would pony up the troops needed to establish order in the country in return for Iraqi good will in post-war contract bids. But that is not going to happen for many reasons. George W. Bush is a stubborn man and Iraq is his project, and he is not going to give up on it. And, by now the rest of the world knows what would await its troops in Iraq, and political leaders are not so stupid as to send their troops into a meat grinder.

Therefore, I conclude that the United States is stuck in Iraq for the medium term, and perhaps for the long term. The guerrilla war is likely to go on a decade to 15 years. Given the basic facts, of capable, trained and numerous guerrillas, public support for them from Sunnis, access to funding and munitions, increasing civil turmoil, and a relatively small and culturally poorly equipped US military force opposing them, led by a poorly informed and strategically clueless commander-in-chief who has made himself internationally unpopular, there is no near-term solution.

Thanks Blinq. Much better post title over there.

This entry was posted on Friday, May 27th, 2005 at 12:21 pm and is tagged as Politics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.